Article :
Topic:
'' Ceasefire of Iran with Israil''
Table of Contents:
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Introduction
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**Background: Rising Tensions in 2024–2025**
2.1. Long‑standing shadow war
2.2. Direct missile exchanges
2.3. Nuclear escalation -
The 12‑Day War: Countdown to Ceasefire
3.1. Israeli strikes on Iranian soil
3.2. Iran’s missile barrages and escalation
3.3. US involvement and mediation -
Trump’s Ceasefire Announcement
4.1. The declaration
4.2. Immediate reactions
4.3. Timing confusion -
Reactions from Key Players
5.1. Iran’s response (Araghchi & Khamenei)
5.2. Israel’s stance
5.3. Regional states and global powers -
The Ceasefire Terms and Mechanics
6.1. Phased and conditional truce
6.2. Role of mediators (Qatar, US)
6.3. Verification and enforcement -
Impact on Civilians and Infrastructure
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Economic and Market Consequences
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Geopolitical Implications
9.1. Nuclear negotiations reboot?
9.2. Regional alliances reshaped
9.3. Proxy conflicts -
Challenges Ahead: Will the Truce Hold?
10.1. Conditions and mutual distrust
10.2. Precedent from past ceasefires
10.3. Escalation triggers -
Conclusion
1. Introduction
This article examines the ceasefire between Iran and Israel declared in late June 2025, ending a high‑intensity 12‑day conflict. Covering background context, key developments, and future prospects, the piece explores how this fragile détente might reshape regional dynamics.
2. Background: Rising Tensions in 2024–2025
2.1 Long‑Standing Shadow War
Since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, Iran and Israel have been engaged in a behind‑the‑scenes confrontation—via cyber operations, proxy militias, and clandestine strikes jns.org+1economictimes.indiatimes.com+1reuters.comtimesofisrael.com+7apnews.com+7indiatimes.com+7pbs.org+1economictimes.indiatimes.com+1timesofisrael.comreuters.com+11thetimes.co.uk+11economictimes.indiatimes.com+11thetimes.co.uk+3inss.org.il+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3theweathervane.orgtheweathervane.org+3usnews.com+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3.
2.2 Direct Missile Exchanges
2024–2025 saw escalation into overt military confrontation:
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April 2024: Over 300 Iranian missiles and drones targeted Israel; most were intercepted en.wikipedia.org.
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October 2024: Iran launched ~200 ballistic missiles in retaliation for Israeli killings of Iranian‑aligned commanders; Israel responded with strikes .
2.3 Nuclear Escalation
Israel, backed by the US, launched strikes on suspected Iranian nuclear facilities. In June 2025, the IAEA accused Iran of violating nuclear agreements. Israel conducted airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites—triggering the surge into full‑scale warfare reuters.com+1economictimes.indiatimes.com+1.
3. The 12‑Day War: Countdown to Ceasefire
3.1 Israeli Strikes on Iranian Soil
Mid‑June 2025: Israel bombed Iranian nuclear and military installations. Tehran officially described these as violations of sovereignty .
3.2 Iran’s Missile Barrages
Iran retaliated with waves of ballistic missiles—some reaching Israeli cities like Beersheba, causing civilian casualties apnews.com+3thetimes.co.uk+3theguardian.com+3.
3.3 US Involvement and Mediation
US President Donald Trump signed off on Israeli strikes, later announcing the ceasefire. Qatar and Oman reportedly served as back‑channels for talks en.wikipedia.org+15timesofisrael.com+15usnews.com+15.
4. Trump’s Ceasefire Announcement
4.1 The Declaration
On June 24, 2025, Trump announced the “complete and total” ceasefire, marking the end of the so‑called “12‑Day War,” via social media thetimes.co.uk+5apnews.com+5indiatimes.com+5.
4.2 Immediate Reactions
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Iran confirmed missile launches occurred just before the ceasefire deadline economictimes.indiatimes.com+11thetimes.co.uk+11apnews.com+11.
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Israel had not confirmed the truce, cultivating uncertainty voanews.com+9thetimes.co.uk+9economictimes.indiatimes.com+9.
4.3 Timing Confusion
Iran claimed the truce began at 7:30 a.m. local time; several more missile launches—including a deadly strike on Beersheba—took place shortly after Trump’s announcement apnews.com.
5. Reactions from Key Players
5.1 Iran’s Response
Foreign Minister Araghchi denied any formal ceasefire agreement, stressing Iran would only halt its military activities if Israel did first inss.org.il+3thetimes.co.uk+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3.
Supreme Leader Khamenei was defiant prior to the announcement, framing any truce as contingent voanews.com+15apnews.com+15wsj.com+15.
5.2 Israel’s Stance
Israel remained publicly non‑committal, neither confirming nor denying the ceasefire status economictimes.indiatimes.com+11thetimes.co.uk+11apnews.com+11.
5.3 Regional and Global Reactions
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France’s Macron supported a peaceful resolution via US mediation en.wikipedia.org.
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Gulf states including Qatar engaged in behind‑the‑scenes efforts to broker peace .
6. The Ceasefire Terms and Mechanics
6.1 Phased and Conditional
According to Trump, the truce would roll out in phases—Iran would stop first, followed by Israel six hours later, lasting at least 12 hours before possibly becoming permanent hindustantimes.com+3thetimes.co.uk+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3.
6.2 Mediated by Qatar and US
No direct Iran‑Israel talks took place; Qatar and the US reportedly facilitated communication reuters.com.
6.3 Verification and Enforcement
Details remain opaque: it’s unclear how compliance will be monitored or enforced and whether third‑party guarantees will be implemented.
7. Impact on Civilians and Infrastructure
Both nations have suffered civilian losses and infrastructure damage:
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Israel: missile strike in Beersheba killed four, injured several, and caused hospital damage reuters.com+3thetimes.co.uk+3theguardian.com+3.
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Iran: sustained hundreds of Israeli airstrikes; around 974 fatalities reported, including civilians apnews.com.
8. Economic and Market Consequences
Global markets reacted swiftly:
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Oil prices dropped from $79 to ~$65/barrel on the news economictimes.indiatimes.com+2pbs.org+2economictimes.indiatimes.com+2.
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Precious metals and equity markets stabilized on hopes for de‑escalation wsj.com+1economictimes.indiatimes.com+1.
9. Geopolitical Implications
9.1 Nuclear Negotiations Reboot?
With regional tensions easing, talks surrounding Iran’s nuclear framework could be revived .
9.2 Regional Alliances Reshaped
The conflict may accelerate strategic alignments: Israel–Arab normalization, Iran–Gulf relations, and US‑GCC cooperation .
9.3 Proxy Conflicts
The Ceasefire limits—but does not end—proxy confrontations in Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Gaza, etc.
10. Challenges Ahead: Will the Truce Hold?
10.1 Conditionality and Mistrust
Iran insists Israel should stop first; Israel demands full cessation. Mutual distrust threatens enforcement wsj.com+15inss.org.il+15apnews.com+15wsj.com+5reuters.com+5economictimes.indiatimes.com+5.
10.2 Precedent from Past Ceasefires
Similar to Gaza ceasefires (2008, 2012, 2014), which often collapsed after days or weeks israelpolicyforum.org+1palestinenexus.com+1.
10.3 Possible Flashpoints
Missile systems, nuclear facilities, assassination operations—all could reignite the conflict.
11. Conclusion
The June 24 ceasefire—announced by Trump and brokered behind the scenes—has halted the immediate hostilities between Iran and Israel. Yet the fundamental disputes over nuclear ambitions, sovereignty, and regional power remain unresolved. The truce is fragile, built on conditional gestures, and lacks robust monitoring mechanisms.
Three possible futures lie ahead:
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A short-term lull, followed by renewed missile exchanges.
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A longer-term détente with revived diplomacy around nuclear constraints.
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A full-blown escalation, if provocations cross red lines again.
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